Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.020907 0.022454 0.024065 0.025868 0.027833 0.029912 0.032279
2024-10-13 0.018168 0.020373 0.022787 0.025635 0.028912 0.032577 0.037002
2024-10-20 0.016103 0.018640 0.021523 0.025061 0.029305 0.034260 0.040522
2024-10-27 0.014986 0.017806 0.021113 0.025304 0.030513 0.036822 0.045119
2024-11-03 0.013991 0.016991 0.020603 0.025309 0.031337 0.038876 0.049141
2024-11-10 0.013310 0.016483 0.020393 0.025619 0.032499 0.041360 0.053820
2024-11-17 0.012470 0.015703 0.019768 0.025319 0.032805 0.042698 0.057014
2024-11-24 0.011814 0.015108 0.019327 0.025206 0.033314 0.044294 0.060619
2024-12-01 0.011146 0.014450 0.018754 0.024862 0.033459 0.045361 0.063507
2024-12-08 0.010692 0.014049 0.018492 0.024911 0.034129 0.047176 0.067571
2024-12-15 0.010150 0.013495 0.017987 0.024580 0.034222 0.048141 0.070400
2024-12-22 0.009600 0.012901 0.017393 0.024083 0.034028 0.048652 0.072539
2024-12-29 0.009168 0.012457 0.016991 0.023847 0.034213 0.049749 0.075690
2025-01-05 0.008765 0.012034 0.016598 0.023599 0.034359 0.050785 0.078809
2025-01-12 0.008309 0.011513 0.016040 0.023070 0.034037 0.051059 0.080672
2025-01-19 0.008102 0.011343 0.015981 0.023289 0.034881 0.053217 0.085837
2025-01-26 0.007849 0.011094 0.015792 0.023293 0.035377 0.054830 0.090169
2025-02-02 0.007687 0.010972 0.015783 0.023574 0.036326 0.057235 0.096063
2025-02-09 0.007392 0.010637 0.015438 0.023302 0.036348 0.058075 0.099183
2025-02-16 0.007158 0.010385 0.015208 0.023199 0.036642 0.059386 0.103254
2025-02-23 0.006887 0.010065 0.014859 0.022887 0.036560 0.060031 0.106106
2025-03-02 0.006715 0.009892 0.014733 0.022932 0.037088 0.061775 0.111188
2025-03-09 0.006473 0.009602 0.014409 0.022632 0.036997 0.062396 0.114104